Group Stats
Head-to-head has hijacked goal difference as the primary tiebreaker for teams with the same number of points. AdamDeng.com does not recognize this ridiculous change, which (1) denies teams that lose early the possibility of launching a meaningful comeback; and (2) decimates the value of later games, as outcomes are far more likely to be predetermined.

Adam scores his group predictions out of 10: 1 for each exact team placement (4 total); 1 for each qualification-to-knockout status (4 total); 1 bonus for group topper; and 1 bonus for 3rd place status. Example: if teams A B C D were Q1 Q2 X3 X4 in reality and Adam predicted Q2 Q1 Q3 X4, respectively, he scores 2/4 for exact placement (C is 3rd, D is 4th), 3/4 for qualification status (A, B, D correct), 0/1 for group topper, and 0/1 for 3rd place status, for a total of 5/10.

Keep scrolling to view, or click one of the groups (or the 3rd place rankings) to jump to it.
Third Place Rankings

A

GP: 1/10
GC: 2/6

B

GP: 5/10
GC: 2/6

C

GP: 5/10
GC: 4/6

D

GP: 4/10
GC: 3/6

E

GP: 10/10
GC: 3/6

F

GP: 3/10
GC: 2/6

G

GP: 4/10
GC: 3/6

H

GP: 5/10
GC: 2/6

I

GP: 6/10
GC: 4/6

J

GP: 6/10
GC: 4/6

K

GP: 3/10
GC: 3/6

L

GP: 7/10
GC: 3/6

Group A

Adam's Group Prediction Score: 0/4 + 1/4 + 0/1 + 0/1 = 1/10 [Terrible]
Games Correct: 2/6 [Poor]

Team W T L G A D Pts ADP Result
MEX
2-0 1-0 3-0 3 6 0 +6 9 Q2 Q1 • TBD
RSA
0-2 1-0 1-1 1 1 1 2 3 -1 4 X4 Q2 • TBD
KOR
0-1 0-1 2-1 1 2 2 3 -1 3 Q1 X3 • Eliminated!
CZE
0-3 1-1 1-2 1 2 2 6 -4 1 Q3 X4 • Eliminated!

Adam's group prediction was a total disaster, with his only correct choice being Mexico's qualification. Mexico conceded no goals en route to 9-point perfection, while Adam's favored 1st-placers South Korea choked against South Africa, who stunned the world by snatching 2nd place. It was Czechia who, after failing to beat South Africa and blowing a lead against South Korea, came in last.

Group B

Adam's Group Prediction Score: 1/4 + 2/4 + 1/1 + 1/1 = 5/10 [Average]
Games Correct: 2/6 [Poor]

Team W T L G A D Pts ADP Result
SUI
2-1 4-1 1-1 2 1 7 3 +4 7 Q1 Q1 • TBD
CAN
1-2 1-1 6-0 1 1 1 8 3 +5 4 X4 Q2 • TBD
BIH
1-4 1-1 3-1 1 1 1 5 6 -1 4 Q2 Q3 • TBD
QAT
1-1 0-6 1-3 1 2 2 10 -8 1 Q3 X4 • Eliminated!

Adam correctly picked Switzerland as the leader of the group, but Bosnia and Qatar were shoved down by a motivated Canada. Despite validating Adam's unpopular prediction of a tie against Switzerland, Qatar proceeded to underperform, being embarrassingly destroyed by Canada and Bosnia.

Group C

Adam's Group Prediction Score: 2/4 + 3/4 + 0/1 + 0/1 = 5/10 [Average]
Games Correct: 4/6 [Good]

Team W T L G A D Pts ADP Result
BRA
1-1 3-0 3-0 2 1 7 1 +6 7 Q2 Q1 • TBD
MAR
1-1 1-0 4-2 2 1 6 3 +3 4 Q1 Q2 • TBD
SCO
0-3 0-1 1-0 1 2 1 4 -3 3 Q3 X3 • Eliminated!
HAI
0-3 2-4 0-1 3 2 8 -6 0 X4 X4 • Eliminated!

If Adam hadn't picked Morocco to pip Brazil—the opposite happened on goal difference—he would've had the right order. Scotland suffered a horrific goal difference to crash out of the World Cup 2026.

Group D

Adam's Group Prediction Score: 2/4 + 1/4 + 1/1 + 0/1 = 4/10 [Poor]
Games Correct: 3/6 [Average]

Team W T L G A D Pts ADP Result
USA
2-0 4-1 2-3 2 1 8 4 +4 6 Q1 Q1 • TBD
AUS
0-2 0-0 2-0 1 1 1 2 2 0 4 X4 Q2 • TBD
PAR
1-4 0-0 1-0 1 1 1 2 4 -2 4 X3 Q3 • TBD
TUR
0-2 0-1 3-2 1 2 3 5 -2 3 Q2 X4 • Eliminated!

Adam nailed America's 1st-place and Paraguay's 3rd-place finishes, but slipped up elsewhere with Australia's overperformance and Turkey's astonishing inability to finish. To add insult to injury, Turkey stunned the world by beating USA when all hope was already lost, leading to more wrong predictions.

Group E

Adam's Group Prediction Score: 4/4 + 4/4 + 1/1 + 1/1 = 10/10 [PERFECT!]
Games Correct: 3/6 [Average]

Team W T L G A D Pts ADP Result
GER
2-1 1-2 7-1 2 1 10 4 +6 6 Q1 Q1 • TBD
CIV
1-2 1-0 2-0 2 1 4 2 +2 6 Q2 Q2 • TBD
ECU
2-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 2 2 0 4 Q3 Q3 • TBD
CUW
1-7 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 9 -8 1 X4 X4 • Eliminated!

Adam predicted the group order perfectly, noting that despite Germany's 2018 and 2022 disasters, they should still top the group, while a valiant Ivory Coast takes second ahead of Ecuador. Yet he only predicted 3 out of 6 games correctly, not expecting Curacao to hold Ecuador scoreless, Germany to beat Ivory Coast at the last second, and Germany to choke yet again, this time to Ecuador.

Group F

Adam's Group Prediction Score: 0/4 + 2/4 + 0/1 + 1/1 = 3/10 [Poor]
Games Correct: 2/6 [Poor]

Team W T L G A D Pts ADP Result
NED
2-2 5-1 3-1 2 1 10 4 +6 7 Q2 Q1 • TBD
JPN
2-2 1-1 4-0 1 2 7 3 +4 5 Q1 Q2 • TBD
SWE
1-5 1-1 5-1 1 1 1 7 7 0 4 X4 Q3 • TBD
TUN
1-3 0-4 1-5 2 2 12 -10 0 Q3 X4 • Eliminated!

Defying popular sentiment and choosing Japan to pip the Netherlands, Adam could've been correct if Japan beat Sweden convincingly instead of tying them. He swapped positions 1/2 and 3/4, leading to a prediction performance as disastrous as Tunisia's in the group.

Group G

Adam's Group Prediction Score: 1/4 + (2-3)/4 + 0/1 + (0-1)/1 = 4/10 [Poor]
Games Correct: 3/6 [Average]

Team W T L G A D Pts ADP Result
BEL
1-1 0-0 5-1 1 2 6 2 +4 5 Q2 Q1 • TBD
EGY
1-1 1-1 3-1 1 2 5 3 +2 5 X3 Q2 • TBD
IRN
0-0 1-1 2-2 3 3 3 0 3 Q1 X3 • Eliminated!
NZL
1-5 1-3 2-2 1 2 4 10 -6 1 X4 X4 • Eliminated!

Iran's failure to clinch the top spot left Adam's predictions in a dire state. The group featured 4 ties, tied for most with Group H. With three ties, Iran was the Cabo Verde of their group, though unlike Cabo Verde, their playoff hopes died on the fine line of third-place teams.

Group H

Adam's Group Prediction Score: 1/4 + 2/4 + 1/1 + 1/1 = 5/10 [Average]
Games Correct: 2/6 [Poor]

Team W T L G A D Pts ADP Result
ESP
0-0 1-0 4-0 2 1 5 0 +5 7 Q1 Q1 • TBD
CPV
0-0 2-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 X4 Q2 • TBD
URU
0-1 2-2 1-1 2 1 3 4 -1 2 Q2 X3 • Eliminated!
KSA
0-4 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 5 -4 2 X3 X4 • Eliminated!

Cabo Verde shocked the planet by tying all three games, which was stunningly enough to see them through at second—a feat no other group could've harbored. This was Adam's sole error in prediction, which cost him 3 exact placements via rotation and 2 qualified statuses.

Group I

Adam's Group Prediction Score: 1/4 + 4/4 + 0/1 + 1/1 = 6/10 [Average]
Games Correct: 4/6 [Good]

Team W T L G A D Pts ADP Result
FRA
4-1 3-1 3-0 3 10 2 +8 9 Q2 Q1 • TBD
NOR
1-4 3-2 4-1 2 1 8 7 +1 6 Q3 Q2 • TBD
SEN
1-3 2-3 5-0 1 2 8 6 +2 3 Q1 Q3 • TBD
IRQ
0-3 1-4 0-5 3 1 12 -11 0 X4 X4 • Eliminated!

Adam's pick of Senegal at the top backfired spectacularly as France and Norway overwhelmed the Gambia-surrounders. One of Adam's very few correct exact scoreline predictions came in the rather difficult scoreline of Norway 3-2 Senegal.

Group J

Adam's Group Prediction Score: 2/4 + 3/4 + 1/1 + 0/1 = 6/10 [Average]
Games Correct: 4/6 [Good]

Team W T L G A D Pts ADP Result
ARG
2-0 3-0 3-1 3 8 1 +7 9 Q1 Q1 • TBD
AUT
0-2 3-3 3-1 1 1 1 6 6 0 4 X3 Q2 • TBD
ALG
0-3 3-3 2-1 1 1 1 5 7 -2 4 Q2 Q3 • TBD
JOR
1-3 1-3 1-2 3 3 8 -5 0 X4 X4 • Eliminated!

Argentina dominated the group, while Algeria tied Austria in a failed revenge attempt for 1982. In his predictions Adam swapped the two teams, which were separated on goal difference. Had Austria not scored a last-second goal to tie their match against Algeria, Iran would've been in the playoffs.

Group K

Adam's Group Prediction Score: 0/4 + 2/4 + 0/1 + 1/1 = 3/10 [Poor]
Games Correct: 3/6 [Average]

Team W T L G A D Pts ADP Result
COL
0-0 1-0 3-1 2 1 4 1 +3 7 Q2 Q1 • TBD
POR
0-0 1-1 5-0 1 2 6 1 +5 5 Q1 Q2 • TBD
DRC
0-1 1-1 3-1 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4 X4 Q3 • TBD
UZB
1-3 0-5 1-3 3 2 11 -9 0 Q3 X4 • Eliminated!

Adam swapped Colombia and Portugal, as well as DR Congo and Uzbekistan. DR Congo displayed stunning resilience, coming back against an outmatched Uzbekistan, and forcing a draw with Portugal, which ultimately confined them to place below Colombia, who scored only 4 goals.

Group L

Adam's Group Prediction Score: 2/4 + 4/4 + 0/1 + 1/1 = 7/10 [Good]
Games Correct: 3/6 [Average]

Team W T L G A D Pts ADP Result
ENG
4-2 0-0 2-0 2 1 6 2 +4 7 Q2 Q1 • TBD
CRO
2-4 2-1 1-0 2 1 5 5 0 6 Q1 Q2 • TBD
GHA
0-0 1-2 1-0 1 1 1 2 2 0 4 Q3 Q3 • TBD
PAN
0-2 0-1 0-1 3 0 4 -4 0 X4 X4 • Eliminated!

Adam's belief in Croatia was not rewarded, as they mustered no discernible offense against England. However, in alignment with Adam's unpopular opinion, this group was indeed the true Group of Death, as England, Croatia, and Ghana were all strong teams—unlike Group I, the popularly-described group of death, which saw Senegal blown out by both Norway and France.

3rd Place Rankings

These 12 teams were the 3rd place out of 4 in their groups. They are ranked against each other, and the top 8 go to the 32-team knockout. Points comes first, then goal difference, then goals scored.

Team W T L G A D Pts Group Chances
DRC
1 1 1 4 3 +1 4 K [Q] 1st of 12
SWE
1 1 1 7 7 0 4 F [Q] 2nd of 12
GHA
1 1 1 2 2 0 4 L [Q] 3rd of 12
ECU
1 1 1 2 2 0 4 E [Q] 4th of 12
BIH
1 1 1 5 6 -1 4 B [Q] 5th of 12
ALG
1 1 1 5 7 -2 4 J [Q] 6th of 12
PAR
1 1 1 2 4 -2 4 D [Q] 7th of 12
SEN
1 2 8 6 +2 3 I [Q] 8th of 12
IRN
3 3 3 0 3 G [X] 9th of 12
KOR
1 2 2 3 -1 3 A [X] 10th of 12
SCO
1 2 1 4 -3 3 C [X] 11th of 12
URU
2 1 3 4 -1 2 H [X] 12th of 12